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Greg Abel's succession plan analyzed. This essay models Berkshire's post-Buffett value, examines the Buffett premium erosion, and maps the trillion-dollar transition triggers.
August 2026ARKK fell from $160 to $30. This analysis traces position changes, calculates what sell rules would have saved, and extracts lessons for every concentrated growth portfolio.
August 2026ARK Innovation returned 153% in 2020 and lost 67% in 2022. Morningstar says ARK destroyed $7.1 billion in investor wealth. We track every fund, every entry point.
August 2026Burry bet $1.1 billion against AI then closed his fund. Is he early or wrong? Audit his post-Big-Short track record and the structural case against NVIDIA and Palantir.
July 2026WSB moved GameStop and AMC. But what's the actual track record? A data-driven audit benchmarking r/wallstreetbets against the S&P 500.
July 2026Motley Fool claims 580% returns since 2002. Strip out the early winners and check recent performance against the S&P 500 to understand what the service actually delivers.
July 202620+ years of data reveals Jim Cramer's stock picks trail the S&P 500 by 3% annually. The Cramer bounce is real. The long-term edge isn't.
July 2026One company in Taiwan fabricates chips for every AI model on Earth. Your entire AI portfolio depends on a factory 100 miles from mainland China. Understand the opportunity and the risk.
June 2026Which companies will build AI agent infrastructure? Map the platform war between OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Microsoft, and Salesforce—and find the investment edges.
June 2026Comparing $1T OpenAI vs $380B Anthropic IPOs. Revenue growth, burn rates, risks, and whether to buy on day one.
June 2026If AGI arrives by 2030, most portfolios are wrong. Three timelines, three portfolios, and the math behind each one.
June 2026SpaceX IPO at $1.5T: 80% revenue from Starlink internet, not rockets. Breakdown of valuation math, subscriber growth, and timing your entry.
June 2026NVIDIA returned 22,000% in a decade. Reverse-engineer the pattern and screen today's companies against the framework for finding the next generational winner.
May 2026Over 40 AI-themed ETFs exist. Most charge high fees for stocks you already own in index funds. This essay names names, shows the overlap, and tells you which ones matter.
May 2026At 0.75% of Bloomberg's cost, Claude handles 50-60% of institutional research tasks. See which tool wins on 10 real investment workflows.
May 2026Can AI beat the market? We tested every credible ChatGPT stock-picking experiment. The results reveal what LLMs actually excel at and where they catastrophically fail.
May 2026Tests what AI can actually do in stock selection in 2026. AI generates ~2% annual alpha at best, enough to matter, not enough to skip homework.
April 2026How NVIDIA extracts a 78% margin tax from every AI company. Analysis of GPU spending, competitive moats, and portfolio implications.
April 202610 metrics that reveal whether an AI company is building real value or burning cash on hype.
April 2026You didn't choose to concentrate in AI. The index did it for you. Here's what that means for your risk.
April 2026Lumping them together is the market's laziest habit. The data shows seven very different risk profiles.
April 2026Everyone cites it. Few read the data correctly. The dot-com era didn't punish the internet — it punished revenueless companies.
April 2026New data-driven insights every week. Always free.